電気学会論文誌B(電力・エネルギー部門誌)
Online ISSN : 1348-8147
Print ISSN : 0385-4213
ISSN-L : 0385-4213
論文
太陽光発電電力変動の分離とカオス解析
髙橋 明子山形 彰宏今井 純舩曳 繁之
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2016 年 136 巻 7 号 p. 621-627

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This paper discusses chaotic properties of fluctuating photovoltaic generation (PV) power and reveals that PV power can be decomposed into a chaotic component having shorter periods and a long-term fluctuation component. The first step is to decompose the PV power into three components containing a long-term fluctuation component, a load frequency control (LFC) component and an irregular fluctuation component from normalized PV power data by using periodic regression analysis. The second step is to analyze the long-term fluctuation component and the LFC component using autocorrelation function. The third step is to clarify the chaotic properties of the LFC component using Lyapunov spectrum analysis. Finally, the simulation of predicting the LFC component and the normalized PV power data is carried out. This simulation clarifies that the LFC component has chaotic properties.

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© 2016 電気学会
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