社会・経済システム
Online ISSN : 2432-6550
Print ISSN : 0913-5472
連鎖倒産構造のチャンス発見手法による把握 : 時間順序法と矢印付きKeyGraphを用いて
郷田 慎一大澤 幸生
著者情報
ジャーナル フリー

2008 年 29 巻 p. 125-132

詳細
抄録

Chain reaction bankruptcy is regarded as common phenomena and its effect is to be taken into account when credit risk portfolio is analyzed. But consideration and modeling of its effect leave much room for improvement. That is mainly because method for grasping relations among companies with limited data is underdeveloped. In this article, chance discovery method is applied to estimate industrial relations that are to include companies' relations that transmit chain reaction of bankruptcy. Time order method and directed KeyGraph are newly introduced to distinguish and express the time order among defaults that is essential information for the analysis of chain reaction bankruptcy. The steps for the data analysis are introduced and result of example analysis with default data in Kyushu, Japan, 2005 is presented. The effect of chain reaction bankruptcy is also evaluated with quantitative measure.

著者関連情報
© 2008 社会・経済システム学会
前の記事
feedback
Top