Estimation of House Cleanup Work Volume Based on Disaster Volunteer Center Work Management Data —The Case of the 2015 Joso City—

抄録

To understand the workload of house cleanup and related workforce shortage after a disaster, the actual work situation in disaster-stricken areas is accounted for by disaster volunteer work management data created by the Disaster Volunteer Center of Joso City in Ibaraki Prefecture at the time of the Kanto–Tohoku Heavy Rain Disaster in September 2015. Using the classification of inundation depth, judged from ground elevation, the weekly workload of house cleanup according to the work content is recorded to clarify the characteristics of each area. Comparing this with the inundated areas without destructions by water flow, near the bank break with house destructions, in the urban area, and around the farmland along the old road, a model to estimate the workload is constructed. It was observed that indoor work to recommence living in urban areas continued for a long time, while the work was completed in a relatively short time in the area along the old road. The area near the bank break, with a small number of houses, witnessed very few house destructions. Hence, it is not necessary to separately calculate the workload caused by house destructions. The appropriateness of the estimated results was verified by using a method to estimate the workload based on the amount of disaster waste. As a result, the total workload estimated by disaster volunteers and victims for the busy period of two months was a million people. In the case of the Joso City flood, very few houses were completely destroyed, therefore, regular living could be resumed swiftly and people settled there after the disaster due to its proximity to the metropolitan area. Hence, the population decreased by the flood was recovered in two years.