2022 年 41 巻 p. 51-61
The revision of the Basic Act on Disaster Countermeasures in 2021 addressed this root cause by making it an obligation of effort for municipalities to create individual evacuation plans for those truly in need of support in which welfare professionals participate in the creation. However, the method of identification of those in need has not yet been established, and needs to be established as soon as possible. A survey and judgment were conducted on 1914 home users of long-term care insurance services in Takashima City, Shiga Prefecture by the care manager in charge, and a binomial logistic regression analysis was performed on the data. Predictions were made for those who truly need assistance using the exact model and the model with margins. And suggestions were made to improve the accuracy.
