抄録
Typhoons are anticipated to cause more severe damage in the future, thus TCs risk assessment have an important role in decision making for risk reduction. Although several typhoon risk assessment models were developed, these models were scarcely compared and their characteristics were also scarcely discussed. In this study, we tested three typhoon risk assessment models and compared their characteristics. Two models were from existing studies and one model was newly developed based on these two models. We assessed economic loss focusing on 25 years from 1985 to 2009, at four countries in Western North pacific: China, Japan, South Korea and Viet Nam. Furthermore, we estimated economic loss by typhoon at 2035 with and without climate change. Characteristics and trend of typhoon risk from present to future differed by models due to different model structures.
