土木学会論文集B1(水工学)
Online ISSN : 2185-467X
ISSN-L : 2185-467X
水工学論文集第60巻
最大クラス台風を想定した淀川流域における洪水流出シミュレーション
宮脇 航平立川 康人田中 智大石井 大貴市川 温萬 和明竹見 哲也
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2016 年 72 巻 4 号 p. I_31-I_36

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 A largest-class flood caused by a typhoon under a climate change condition at the Yodo River basin is examined by using rainfall data developed by a physically-based course ensemble typhoon experiment for the Isewan Typhoon in 1959 and a distributed rainfall-runoff model including flood regulation with dam reservoir operation. Simulated flood discharge at the Hirakata station under a pseudo global warming condition is analyzed, and it is found that the peak flood discharge at the Typhoon 18 in 2013 is larger than the largest peak discharge estimated by the Isewan Typhoon course ensemble simulation under a pseudo global warming condition. Magnitudes of floods with different return periods of rainfall patterns for the Isewan Typhoon and the Typhoon 18 in 2013 are also examined for evaluating the effect of flood control by dam reservoirs in the basin.

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