Abstract
The indirect damages as well as the direct damages by a large scale natural disasters are expected. For establishing a method to predict the damage to life and health of residents, the paper offers evaluation methodology by the life expectancy indicator. An application of the methodology to Nankai Trough Earthquake indicates that medical care system is insufficient in many regions for over one month. Furthermore, the prolonged evacuation life brings a new health damage. Evaluation of these phenomena by the disability-adjusted life years (DALY) reveals the difficulty of mitigation of the damages even after one month after the occurrence of earthquake. It is also desirable to enhance the lifeline beforehand. Improvement of medical care and the living environment in evacuation is essential.
