日本太陽エネルギー学会講演論文集
Online ISSN : 2758-478X
2025年度(令和7年度)研究発表会
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セッション:A1 太陽光発電システム(日射・発電評価)
3 再解析データを利用した機械学習を用いた日射予報モデルの汎用性評価
*高松 尚宏大竹 秀明大関 崇
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p. 7-8

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Recent studies have demonstrated that the accuracy of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models in solar radiation forecasting can be enhanced by incorporating machine learning (ML) techniques. However, ML models are inherently dependent on historical data, which raises concerns about their ability to adapt to evolving atmospheric conditions over time. In this study, we investigate the temporal robustness and generalizability of ML-based solar radiation forecasting models by utilizing long-term reanalysis datasets. Our objective is to evaluate how well these models maintain performance across different time periods and to identify potential limitations in their adaptability to changing climate patterns.

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