The Journal of Science Policy and Research Management
Online ISSN : 2432-7123
Print ISSN : 0914-7020
A Foresight Methodology for Exploring Prior R&D Topics in Software Field and its Evaluation : Introduction of the method for calculating a degree of conflict
Shin-ichi KOBAYASHIFumihiro KUMENOYasuyuki SHIRAIHiroshi INUJIMA
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2010 Volume 24 Issue 2 Pages 192-206

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Abstract
In order to reinforce the research development power in the software-related sectors, it is necessary to clarify the methodology of formulating the R & D strategies. This paper focuses on the methodology of setting the themes for R & D. In order to promote R & D more effectively, we propose the NeXT model which consists of two stages: foresight of the priority areas based on the conflicts between near-future trends and verifying the priority areas. Since it is one of major problems of the NeXT model to evaluate whether there is a conflict or not between given trends, we show a method for calculating a degree of conflict using FURPS+model. We have evaluated this methodology by comparing with the results of the 7-th Technology Foresight which was conducted using the Delphi method. The NeXT model comes in compliance with the characteristics of the current society in which the link between technology and society is stronger than ever before, and is applicable to a wide range of fields.
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2010 Japan Society for Research Policy and Innovation Management
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