National Land and Energy Policy in China Evaluated by the Rail Freight Transportation Energy

Abstract

In recent years, rapidly growing urban populations and increasing energy consumption have drawn much attention around the world. China has experienced enormous growth in its energy markets over the last two decades, fuelled by the sustained growth of its economy. In this study we use a regression model of the rail freight transportation energy to analyze and evaluate the national land and energy policy in China. Under the national land and energy policy this study assumes some kinds of scenarios to predict the future of rail freight transportation. The results of the simulation show that rail freight transportation will increase despite national strategy aimed to develop the economy of the Western region. Conversely, under metropolitan planning policy rail freight transportation will decrease. In addition, from the result of the simulation of the energy policy we can see that coal-related factor is important factor because it has an influence on rail freight.