A Study on the effect of the number of users in Tokyo Tama Intercity Monorail’s plan to extend the route for Machida and Hachioji

Abstract

Tokyo Metropolitan Government planned Tokyo Tama Intercity Monorail to enhance public transportation network in the north-south direction of Tama area in 1981, and Kamikitadai Station to Tama Center Station was opened to traffic in 2000. Currently, there is a plan to extend from Tama-center Station to Machida and Hachioji. In the plan for Machida, Machida City predicted the effect of suppressing population decline and the economic effect, but the study does not take into account the sustained impact of monorail extension, such as land use around stations. Therefore, we analyzed the causal relationship between the change in land use around the station and the increase and decrease in the number of passengers, and how passengers move to the new station using the person trip survey. The estimation result for the number of passengers was unrealistic. On the other hand, Transportation analysis was significant for walking.