Reports of the City Planning Institute of Japan
Online ISSN : 2436-4460
The Study of Issues and Method: Using a Scenario Planning for Pre-disaster Recovery of Spatial Plan
Case Study of Kushimoto, Wakayama Pref
Shogo TakemotoTamiyo Kondo
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RESEARCH REPORT / TECHNICAL REPORT FREE ACCESS

2021 Volume 19 Issue 4 Pages 495-500

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Abstract

The Nankai Trough earthquake will cause enormous damage to western Japan, and it is expected that a considerable period of time will be required for disaster recovery. After the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake, the Niigata Chuetsu Earthquake and the Great East Japan Earthquake made it difficult to reach consensus for reconstruction projects, the collapse of local communities due to the disaster, and the prolongation of reconstruction. Based on these experiences, pre-disaster recovery efforts are needed. The objectives of this study is to clarify the long-term effects of the damage caused by the Nankai Trough earthquake on the affected areas, to consider the effects of the measures in pre-disaster recovery of spatial plan in the reconstruction process, and to discuss the issues in pre-disaster recovery of spatial plan. Then, we consider the effectiveness of the methodology using scenario planning in comparison with the methodology of the conventional pre-disaster recovery of spatial plan.

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