国際航空路線の就航による受益地域の特定

──訪日外国人流動表を用いた周遊型観光消費モデルの開発──

抄録

　　In this paper, we proposed a travel consumption model of foreign visitors in Japan, which consider their travel trips for tourism.　The origin-destination table of foreign visitors has the same table format as input-output tables. 　If the expansion table of travel consumption in each region can be estimated, we can perform the calculation similar to the input-output analysis, by using the expansion table.　If the number of foreign visitors in Japan from an international airport is increased, you can analyze which area travel consumption will increase.

　　And the Origin-Destination table of Chines is picked up and we built a travel consumption model of Chinese.　In addition, we checked the accuracy of the model, by using the total number of foreign visitors in each prefecture which is listed in Japanese tourism and accommodation statistics.　In Japan, the number of Chinese visitors to Japan who are arriving from Kansai Airport greatly increased from 2014 to 2016.　If the estimated consumption in each prefecture is compared with its actual value, the correlation was a relatively high value of 0.994.

　　And using this model, the beneficiary area of a Chinese budget airline into international airports is identified in three metropolitan regions.　As a result of this analysis, in the case that a Chinese budget airline is in service to Narita or Haneda airport, it is shown that the travel consumption of Chinese increases mainly in Tokyo metropolitan region.　On the other hand, in the case that a Chinese budget airline is in service to Kansai or Chubu airport, it is cleared that the travel consumption of Chinese increases not only in Osaka and Nagoya metropolitan regions, but also in Tokyo metropolitan region.

JEL Classifications: C67, L83, L93