2019 年 49 巻 2 号 p. 269-290
Japan is already in transition towards a depopulating society. Especially, the population of Hokkaido Prefecture is forecasted to decline 1.38 million by 2045, a cutting-edge region of the depopulating society. Under these circumstances, each municipality in Hokkaido has implemented various policies that correspond to depopulation. One way decrease depopulation in many municipalities is to implement growth of the population by encouraging migration from other cities. However, important influential factors of migration have not been made explicit and quantitatively-analyzed.
Therefore, this paper targets Kitahiroshima City, which is estimated to have a particularly high depopulating rate among suburban cities around Sapporo City. Additionally, we conducted an attitude survey for families with small children, and gathered data relating to the attractiveness of the city, intention of migration to the city, household income, and distance between the current workplace to the city. We also analyzed important factors influencing migration by means of CS analysis and Cluster Analysis. Based on these analyses, we consider measures and policies regarding the inducement of migration to suburban cities.
JEL Classifications:R23, R28, R41