Proceedings of the ISCIE International Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and its Applications
Online ISSN : 2188-4749
Print ISSN : 2188-4730
第49回ISCIE「確率システム理論と応用」国際シンポジウム(2017年11月, 広島)
Mathematical Analysis of the Stochastic Delayed Epidemic Models with Reinfection
Masaaki Ishikawa
著者情報
ジャーナル フリー

2018 年 2018 巻 p. 147-152

詳細
抄録
At present, the unprecedented cholera outbreak occurs in Yemen and the strategization to control cholera transmission becomes imperative. Hence, infection prevention and control of epidemic are cited as one of the important social problems. In the vector-borne diseases such as malaria and dengue fever, there exists time delay caused by an incubation period in the virus development in the vectors on the transmission of disease. It should be noted that there is possibility of getting reinfected in the infectious disease such as malaria. Moreover, in the realistic spread of the infectious disease, environmental change and individual difference cause some kinds of random fluctuations in the infection, the recovery rates and the vaccination effect. Taking these facts into consideration, we propose two types of the stochastic delayed infectious models with reinfection. Since the spread of infection has reference to the stability of the disease-free steady state (DFS) of the stochastic infectious models, we analyze the stability of the DFS by using the stochastic Lyapunov theorem.
著者関連情報
© 2018 ISCIE Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and Its Applications
前の記事 次の記事
feedback
Top