Background: C-OPERA demonstrated the efficacy and safety of certolizumab pegol (CZP) plus methotrexate (MTX) compared to placebo (PBO)+MTX in Japanese MTX-naïve early rheumatoid arthritis (ERA) patients with poor prognostic factors.Objectives: To identify baseline disease prognostic factors associated with 52 weeks DAS28-ESR remission rate and radiographic outcomes with CZP+MTX and PBO+MTX treatment in Japanese MTX-naïve early rheumatoid arthritis patients.Methods: Patients were randomized 1:1 to CZP+MTX (n=159) or PBO+MTX (n=157). CZP 400mg was administered at Weeks 0, 2 and 4, followed by CZP 200mg Q2W to Week 52. Disease Activity Score 28-joint assessment (DAS28)-erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) and change from baseline in modified Total Sharp Score (ΔmTSS) were evaluated at Week 52. DAS28-ESR < 2.6 was defined as remission, and yearly increase of mTSS > 3 was defined as rapid radiographic progression (RRP).Results: Lower remission rate was observed in patients with higher baseline DAS28-ESR, Simplified Disease Activity Index (SDAI), Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index (HAQ-DI), and C reactive protein (CRP), and greater progression of bone destruction (higher change in mTSS or higher RRP rate) was observed in patients with higher baseline DAS28-ESR, SDAI, HAQ-DI, CRP, mTSS, matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-3, rheumatoid factor (RF), tumor necrosis factor (TNF)α, and interleukin (IL)-6 in the PBO+MTX group. Better clinical and radiographic outcomes were observed in CZP+MTX patients compared to PBO+MTX patients.Conclusions: Higher baseline DAS28-ESR, SDAI, HAQ-DI, CRP, mTSS, MMP-3, RF, TNFα, and IL-6 may be associated with poor outcomes in PBO+MTX-treated patients. CZP+MTX patients showed better outcomes vs PBO+MTX, even in patients with higher risk of progression identified by baseline factors.
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