Leveling surveys between Tokyo datum station and the fixed point at Aburatsubo tidal station were carried out 18 times during the period from 1923 to 1970. The vertical movement of Aburatsubo relative to Tokyo datum station (the uppermost curve of Fig. 3) shows almost linear secular subsidence and considerably large irregular oscillation. The latter phenomenon has been studied by some authors from a standpoint of influence of change in mean sea level, but positive conclusion has not yet been obtained. In the present paper, reliability of leveling survey is re-examined in consideration of accumulating error of the survey. The leveling route in the area concerned was observed as a single line (west line) in 1923-1948, and as a closed loop after 1952. The closing error of the loop is a measure of quality of the survey, but this is not always correct, because it can be considered that there is a case in which accumulated errors of each half of loop are canceled in total. When change in observed height differences between successive two surveys is abnor-mally large, and also this change is confined in short range of time in regards with expected secular movement, it can be considered that survey of this time, or preceding survey, or both of them are erroneous. For example, when secular movement is actually very small, erroneous too large change in height difference will be proved by too large change o4., contrary direction in the next survey. In order to study the problem according to this criterion, changes in observed height difference of each part of the leveling routes in the area concerned are obtained, and are shown in Fig. 2. After examination of this figure and also of closing error, reduction of surveys are made as follows : surveys in 19231944 adopt the west route; survey in 1948 is rejected; surveys in 1952, 1955 and 1957 adopt the east route; surveys in 1965 and 1968 adopt the west route; surveys in 1960, 1963, 1970.1 and 1970.9 adopt net adjustment. The result is shown on the lowest curve of Fig. 3 as 35.1-F(A). BM 35.1 is considered to be on very stable ground. From this curve of secular movement, it is shown that the abnormal subsidence in about 1953 which is clear in D-F(A) curve, disappears. However, the subsidence of considerable large speed in the period from 1963 to 1968, and the upheaval of considerable large speed after 1968, are confirmed. Whether this phenomenon is a mere oscillation of noise in the linear subsidence of long range, or is related to some geophysical phenomena such as the coming earthquake will remain to be uncertain till future surveys will be carried out.
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