Various predictions have been made regarding how technological innovation will change employment. Although the predictions vary widely, most agree that new technologies will replace existing jobs to some extent and that social investment policies such as education and training, redistribution, and income security will be necessary to address the anticipated change in employment. However, in reality, the political response is inadequate. This is not because politics did not pay attention to the predictions, but rather because future predictions themselves were influenced by the political preferences and the imagination of society at the time of each prediction.
In this study, content analysis is employed to examine newspaper articles and policy documents published between the 1980s and 2019 regarding future predictions about the relationship between technological innovation and employment, and examine how observations about society and political wills at each point in time intervened in these predictions. By doing this, several forms of discourse were found in which future projections on employment are not connected to the expansion of social security, and issues that should be considered when thinking about social policy in 2050 were proposed.
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