Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) comprises 5% of all liver transplantations in Japan. The long-term outcomes of PSC recipients are impaired mainly due to the recurrent disease in the graft, and the disease recurrence has become a matter of debate. To elucidate the outcomes and predictive factors among PSC recipients, a nationwide survey was conducted. The 5- and 10-year patient- and graft-survival rates were 83% and 68%, and 71% and 62%, respectively. The overall PSC recurrence rate was 25% with a 5- and 10-year graft survival rate of 34% and 18%, which was significantly lower than the survival rate of those without recurrence (p<0.001). Univariate analysis identified the following as risk factors for recurrence: donor age (p<0.001), HLA matched number ≥ 4 loci (p=0.016), cyclosporine use (p= 0.004), mono or no immunosuppressive agent (p<0.001), calcineurin inhibitor trough level below the therapeutic range (p<0.001), postoperative biliary complication (p<0.001), and active intestinal bowel disease after LT (p<0.001). Among these factors, donor age ≥ 45 years (hazard ratio [HR], 1.52; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-2.25; p=0.002) and mono or no immunosuppressive agent 1-year after LT (HR, 2.05; 95%CI, 1.48-2.6; p=0.005) were identified as independent risk factors in the final multivariate Cox regression model.
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