This paper aims to develop the methodology to calculate the expected construction duration. In case of a construction works in a remote area where the supply of parts are difficult, the number of equipments is decided considering the possibility of time over-run due to equipment failure. That is, the number of equipments is increased from the most efficient capacity and number. Because, several, equipments make it possible to continue construction even if one equipment is failed, and the parts of that can be used as the source of parts when the second equipment is failed. This paper analyses these situation and shows following conclusions: (1) Serial parallel system represents this situation, (2) An equation is shown to calculate the probability of some number of equipments are failed at time
t, (3) An equation is shown to calculate the expected capacity and the expected duration.
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