地域防災計画のための自動車利用者の時空間分布推定

抄録

In the field of urban disaster prevention planning, it is important to grasp the characteristics of spatio-temporal distribution of population for considering provisions for human damage by a great earthquake. In this paper, we construct a model that simulates route choice behavior of automobile users on geographic information systems by using the data taken from a person trip survey and a road traffic census. We estimate spatio-temporal distribution of automobile users in Tokyo, and demonstrate some analyses on urban disaster prevention planning.