Annals of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery
Online ISSN : 2186-1005
Print ISSN : 1341-1098
ISSN-L : 1341-1098
Original Article
A Predictive Nomogram for Intensive Care-Acquired Weakness after Cardiopulmonary Bypass
Fuxiu ZhongHaoruo ZhangYanchun PengXueying LinLiangwan ChenYanjuan Lin
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ジャーナル オープンアクセス
電子付録

2024 年 30 巻 1 号 論文ID: oa.23-00029

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抄録

Purpose: Intensive care unit-acquired weakness (ICUAW) affects patient prognosis after cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) surgery, but its risk factors remain unclear. We investigated these risk factors and developed a nomogram for predicting ICUAW after CPB.

Methods: Baseline characteristics, preoperative laboratory data, and intra- and postoperative variables of 473 patients after CPB were determined in this prospective cohort study. Lower limb muscles on bedside ultrasound images were compared 1 day before and 7 days after CPB. Risk factors were assessed using logistic regression models.

Results: Approximately 50.95% of the patients developed ICUAW after CPB. The body mass index (BMI), New York Heart Association (NYHA) class, lactate, albumin, aortic clamping time, operation time, and acute physiological and chronic health evaluation II were determined as independent risk factors. The average absolute error of coincidence was 0.019; the area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.811, 0.727, and 0.733, respectively, for the predictive nomogram.

Conclusion: A high BMI, poor NYHA class, preoperative high serum lactate, low serum albumin, long surgical duration, aortic clamping, and high acute physiological and chronic health evaluation II score are risk factors for ICUAW after CPB. This robust and easy-to-use nomogram was developed for clinical decision-making.

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© 2024 The Editorial Committee of Annals of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery

This article is licensed under a Creative Commons [Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International] license.
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
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