Future Migration Intention of Young Japanese in the Context of Rural Depopulation

抄録

Through our results based on data collected from 1017 high school students in Hiroshima Prefecture, Japan, we confirmed that young people in depopulated areas are more willing to migrate in comparison to those in non-depopulated areas. This is done by combining the theory of planned behavior and time perspective theory. Personal achievements and raising big families are drivers to consider migration. A high score in Present-Hedonistic time profile is a good predictor for migration and willingness to return, whereas Past-Positive and Present-Fatalistic score are good predictors for considering a permanent migration. Migration is also influenced by elderly people in household, shorter travel times to school, living in a depopulating area. Social exclusion reflected in heath condition, natural environment and accessibility are drivers of migration as well.