土木学会論文集B1(水工学)
Online ISSN : 2185-467X
ISSN-L : 2185-467X
水工学論文集第56巻
GCM出力値補正手法により生じる月平均気温および月降水量の予測差
渡部 哲史鼎 信次郎瀬戸 心太沖 大幹
著者情報
ジャーナル フリー

2012 年 68 巻 4 号 p. I_439-I_444

詳細
抄録

The discrepancy of bias-corrected monthly temperature and precipitation data simulated by multiple General Circulation Models (GCMs) are compared among the bias-correction methods. This study classifies previous methods into 2 groups. The methods in one group consider about the statistical characteristics of the change of GCM outputs from historical simulation to future simulation, while the methods in the other group do not. The difference of the bias-corrected data is not large in the validation using the historical GCM outputs and observed data. The difference in the future GCM outputs is, however, large among the two methods. The variance of the increment of bias corrected-data from historical period to future period among GCM outputs are also compared between the two methods. Our proposed method, which is one of the methods that consider the characteristics of the change, is better than other methods because the variance of our method is smaller than that of other methods.

著者関連情報
© 2012 公益社団法人 土木学会
前の記事 次の記事
feedback
Top