Abstract
Natural Disasters such as a large-scale earthquake disaster can often reduce the number of tourists even in not seriously damaged places. It is said that this damage is caused by the psychological reasons such that people feel uncertainty in the information about a level of service and better refraining an amusement including traveling. However, the loss of tourists after an earthquake disaster and its characteristics are not even quantified and investigated and it is not clearly demonstrated how long the decrease continues and how many people cancel traveling in the earthquake-loss assessment field. In order to understand the damage in more correct manner, this study developed a framework by which we can estimate the periods of damage and an amount of people who call off their traveling. This is composed of the methods on time-series analysis and applied to the 5 cases of recent earthquake disasters. The results indicates the impact of the disaster exists even in an outside the damaged areas, but the number of tourists return to the original trend within at most a year at all the cases.
