Japanese Journal of Endourology
Online ISSN : 2187-4700
Print ISSN : 2186-1889
ISSN-L : 2186-1889
ロボット手術
Development of a preoperative nomogram for the prediction of non-biochemical recurrence rate after robot assisted radical prostatectomy in Japanese patients with clinically localized prostate cancer
Takeshi KashimaMakoto OhoriYuri YamaguchiNaoto TokuyakaKazuyoshi KohRyo IsekiTakeshi HashimotoNaoya SatakeKunihiko YoshiokaYoshio Ohno
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2021 年 34 巻 2 号 p. 335-341

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OBJECTIVE : To develop a preoperative nomogram to predict the non-biochemical recurrence (non-BCR) after robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP).

METHODS : A thousand patients who underwent robot-assisted radical prostatectomy at the Tokyo Medical University were studied. Based on Cox hazard regression analysis, a nomogram was developed to predict non-biochemical recurrence at 1, 3, and 5 years after robot-assisted radical prostatectomy. For external validation, the parameters of 200 patients who underwent robot-assisted radical prostatectomy at the Shin-Yurigaoka General Hospital were used to calibrate the actual and predicted values using our nomogram.

RESULTS : A hundred and sixty-eight patients had biochemical recurrence during the follow-up period (mean, 44.4 months). Analysis showed that age, PSA, biopsy primary and secondary Gleason pattern, clinical T stage, and the percentage of positive biopsy cores were significant predictors of biochemical recurrence.

CONCLUSION: The nomogram was validated with internal and external calibration to provide an accurate prediction of non-biochemical recurrence. It may help both patients and clinicians to determine the most appropriate initial treatment for clinically localized prostate cancer.

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© 2021 Japanese Society of Endourology
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