家庭内帰宅時接触行動に伴うウイルス拡散リスクとケア効果の可視化

抄録

With the spread of COVID-19, the risk of droplet infection has been studied through interdisciplinary research. However, there is little information on the spread of the pathogen through human contact behavior. In this paper, we focus on the home, which is the private space of people, and propose a model to visualize the risk of contact infection to a family when people return home by combining calculation of contact behavior after returning home and study of virus transfer efficiency. First, from the contact behavior data for the first 30 minutes after returning home, we calculated the probability of flow line, the distribution of the number of contacts, the probability of initial action and the probability of contact behavior transmission. Next, we obtained the transfer efficiency between the substrate representing the household goods surface and the model skin, and the rate of change of the viral transfer efficiency when people continuously contact the household goods surface. According to these probabilities, we reproduced the state in which the virus attached to the hand or household goods surface by probabilistically performing the agent’s movement and contact behavior after returning home. This result shows that when agents return home with viruses attached to their hands, the viruses are widely confirmed on household goods surfaces. Furthermore, by simulating the combination and timing of hygienic actions such as handwashing and disinfection, it was possible to visualize their effects on the risk of re-contact and care effects.