It has been known that cherry trees in the central area of a large city come into blossom earlier than those in the suburbs. One of the main causes of this advancement of blooming dates is urban warming. The purpose of this paper is to show the relationship between the amount of urban warming (Δ
Tu), and the amount of advancement of blooming dates (Δ
BDu). Data used in this study are official records of blooming dates of
Prunus yedoensis (the most popular species of cherry trees in Japan) at stations of the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and daily mean temperatures at these stations.
In oder to obtain Δ
BDu which is assumed to be entirely temperature dependent, it is necessary to estimate blooming dates from temperature data. This could be made by the method reported in our previous paper (Omoto and Aono, 1989). It enables us to relate deviation of blooming dates of a particular year from mean blooming dates (Δ
BD) with deviation of temperature from the normal (Δ
Ta). The linear relationship between Δ
BD and Δ
Ta found at each site suggests that we can replace these parameters by Δ
BDu and Δ
Tu respectively. The evaluation of Δ
Tu is made by the method proposed by Omoto and Hamotani (1979). It is pointed out that the proportional constants β at various stations differ systematically such that the earlier the mean blooming date, the smaller the value of β.
Nevertheless there are several sources of error in the computations of Δ
BDu and Δ
Tu, comparisons between variations of actual and estimated blooming dates in several large cities in Japan indicate that the present method gives reasonable estimation.
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