Sugi (
Cryptomeria japonica var. japonica) plantations are the predominant evergreen coniferous forest ecosystems in Japan.
Sugi is a unique evergreen tree with no abscission layer in the leaf. However, the lifespan of
sugi leaves is unknown. In this study, we described
sugi leaves, investigated the age structures of living and newly deceased leaves, and estimated the lifespan and death process of the leaves. The lifespan of
sugi leaves was 1–8 years, with an estimated mean of 4.3–5.3 years. Then, we modeled patterns of leaf replacement and cesium-137 (
137Cs) concentrations and estimated the potential
137Cs supply to the forest floor through leaf shedding based on
137Cs concentration data from leaves of various ages sampled after the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station (FDNPS) accident. Around 90% of leaves that had sprouted before March 11, 2011 (
ante -3.11 leaves) were predicted to die within 4 years of the FDNPS accident. Moreover, ~90% of the
137Cs in
ante -3.11 leaves was predicted to be removed within 3 years of the FDNPS accident. The predicted trends of stand leaf
137Cs concentrations were verified with
137Cs concentrations measured in four permanent sample plots in Fukushima Prefecture. This study revealed that
137Cs translocated from the canopy to the forest floor at a faster rate than the
ante -3.11 leaves that had been directly contaminated by the FDNPS accident. Including
sugi leaf mortality and replacement in future models will allow for more accurate predictions of the fate and persistence of radiocesium in
sugi forests affected by the FDNPS accident.
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