A clinical analysis was performed on 158 patients with papillary thyroid carcinomas initially treated at Saga University Hospital between 1983 and 2005. We analyzed 7 prognostic factors. Age, gender, pT4, N1b, and clinical stage showed significant differences in univariate analyses. Diameter of primary tumors (≥4 cm) and distant metastasis were significant poor prognostic factors by both univariate and multivariate analyses. Based on the risk ratio of the distant metastasis, we scored the prognostic factors as follows: age and gender were 1 respectively, diameter of primary tumors (≥4 cm) was 2, T4 was 3, and N1b was 4. The prognostic factor score was defined as the sum of these points for each case. The prognostic factor score was correlated with the incidence rate of distant metastasis as follows, score 0-3 : 0%, 4-6 : 5%, 7-9 : 21%, and 10-11 : 43%. We consider the prognstic factor score to be useful for determination of treatment and estimation of the incidence of distant metastasis.
View full abstract