We attempted to determine the risk factors for stroke using data from Japan’s recently implemented “specific health checkup,” and to evaluate and determine the effectiveness of this checkup for metabolic syndrome as a policy for stroke prevention. The 174 cases were all those patients who had undergone a metabolic syndrome checkup in the Akita Prefecture screening program from 2007 to 2010 and suffered from stroke afterwards within 1 year of screening. The controls were all 47,969 subjects who were screened in the year 2008 in the same program. The predictors examined were sex, age, blood pressure, BMI, total cholesterol value, smoking habit, history of diabetes mellitus, presence of metabolic syndrome, and atrial fibrillation. The outcome was incidence of stroke. The analysis was conducted by stroke subtype using logistic regression. The risk factors for cerebral infarction were male sex, high blood pressure, diabetes, atrial fibrillaton, and smoking history. For cerebral hemorrhage, the risk factors were age and high blood pressure only. For subarachnoid hemorrhage, the risk factors were female sex and smoking history. Metabolic syndrome was not a risk factor for any of the 3 subtypes of stroke. High blood pressure and smoking history showed the largest population-attributable fraction. In conclusion, control of blood pressure and smoking cessation are the most important issues for population-focused stroke prevention policy. Metabolic syndrome is not a risk factor for stroke, and therefore, the “intensified intervention” after specific health checkup should be targeted to smokers and to those with hypertension rather than to patients with visceral fat obesity.
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