We have been observing geoelectric field in land using the facilities of NTT corporation and on the ocean-floor using the ocean bottom seismograph observation systems of JMA, in the cenral part of Japan. By these observations we obtain highly stable data compared with those by ordinary observations. Some anomalous changes preceding earthquakes and volcanic eruptions were detected by simple methods. However, we still do not have general concepts about the anomalous changes in the electric fields as precursors of tectonic activities, that is, when, how long, how much intense and what type.
In order to improve the detectability of anomalous changes and automatically detect the precursory signals generated by seismic or volcanic activities in real-time or in quasi-real-time, we need to eliminate the effects of external geomagnetic changes and the motion of sea water. I have proposed that the induced electric fields in land and on the ocean-floor are expressed by a stochastic difference equation using the associated data such as the magnetic fields and/or sea level. The parameters of the equation are determined so as to minimize the
AIC (Akaike Information Criterion).
In this study, I apply above method to the various electrical records from January to September, 1989. In the case of the electric fields at Mito-group, induced electric fields such as daily variations and telluric storms can be calcurated using the magnetic variations, and are considerably eliminated from the observed field. Then the degree of improvement in detecting anomalous electrical variations at the Mito-group is 5-10 times using
X,
Y and
Z components of magnetic field. One at the Numazu-group is about 5 times using
X and
Y, and one on the ocean-floor is about 10 times using
X,
Y and sea level. In these cases, practically, the determined parameters were applicable for few months.
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