After Hyogo-ken nambu earthquake, many municipalities in Japan are remaking their earthquake disaster prevention plans. In those process, reliability of disaster estimation methods is important. Some municipalities have adopted an earthquake fire estimation method by Tokyo Fire Department. It basically is not an empirical method based on past earthquakes, but a logical method based on analyses of fire occurrence mechanism. This paper tests the method with the data of the fires in Hyogo-ken nambu earthquake. It proves that the estimation result of the method is reasonable and that the method is enough useful for making earthquake disaster prevention plans.
