抄録
In this study, we developed the estimating system for future demand and supply of elderly care, in order to prepare for the increase in elderly people who require nursing care, in depopulating and aging society.
By using this system, it was found that from 2015 to 2040, both nursing care demand and supply that family or area volunteers provides will increase in Sendai metropolitan area. But the demand outreaches the supply so it is necessary to take some appropriate measures in the early stages. And we made it clear that the utilizing possibility of area volunteers is useful to reduce nursing care demand.
