Forests at the urban fringe are very important as a factor of the attractiveness of urban life, but the decrease of forested areas is inevitable due to the rising market value of forest land. This paper examines the decreasing forests of the urban fringe and proposes alternative plans for the preservation of these areas. Forest area per capita (FAC = F/N) is calculated from the following formula: (F/N) = a・exp(p(N/S))…(1), where F is forest area, N is population, S is city area, N/S is density per sq.km, and a and p are coefficients. In the example of 44 districts in Osaka prefecture in 1990, parameter a is estimated at 11,022 and p at -0.00429. The coefficient of determination (r^2) is 0.973. From the population and forest areas in Takatuki city in Osaka prefecture over 25 years, parameter a is 833.50, p is -0.000556 and r^2 is 0.973. The city of Takatuki expects that the population there will increase to 400,000 by the year 2000. If N is 400,000 and S remains constant in Eq.(1), the forested area in Takatuki decrease by 955 ha. by the year 2000. The degree of forest adequacy (DFA) is calculated from the following Mitscherlich function : DFA = 100(1-exp(a・(F/N))…(2), where a is the function parameter. In the example of green areas, populations, and DFA of residents at 6 elementary school districts in Takatuki city in 1985, a is -0.024 and r^2 is 0.845. DFA decreases as forest area per capita decrease. For example, the forest area in Takatuki, where the population is predicted to be 400,000 in the year 2000, should be increased by 556 ha. to keep the same DFA in Eq.(2).
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