土木学会論文集B1(水工学)
Online ISSN : 2185-467X
ISSN-L : 2185-467X
水工学論文集第59巻
降水量の極値特性の気候変動に伴う差異の検出 ~ 変化の現れ方の想定により生じる問題
北野 利一高橋 倫也田中 茂信
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2015 年 71 巻 4 号 p. I_361-I_366

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Two-sample problem is discussed to detect the difference between the present and future climates. Statistical test is often encapslated in a black box in which the procedures are hidden so that it is not easy for the policymakers and the common people to comprehend it, also the researchers may not convince themselves of their conducted results by employing the abstract concept derived in mathematical sense. The test should be therefore better to be clear: the occurence number is a kind of understandable facts, while the amount of precipitation is indirect through the return period. A simple but effective method is proposed by degree of experience in extreme value analysis, and an example is demonstrated to grasp the effectiveness.
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© 2015 公益社団法人 土木学会
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