土木学会論文集B1(水工学)
Online ISSN : 2185-467X
ISSN-L : 2185-467X
水工学論文集第59巻
平成25年台風18号を対象としたWRFによる降水の再現と海面水温温暖化実験
能登谷 拓小林 健一郎奥 勇一郎木村 圭佑
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2015 年 71 巻 4 号 p. I_397-I_402

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Recently heavy rains occur frequently and researchers consider a climate change may be one of the causes. Thus, this study estimates the influence of the sea surface temperature changes on rainfall intensity due to a Typhoon. First the Typhoon No.18, 2013 which caused heavy damage on Kyoto and Shiga prefectures due to the heavy rainfall is reproduced (control run). Then its SST global warming experiment is carried out using latest meso-scale meteorological model WRF. As the result of the SST global warming experiment, the catchment average rainfall of the Yodogawa river above Hirakata becomes 1.5 times larger than that of the control run. This result indicates a possibility that further heavier rainfall may occur in the future due to a climate change.
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© 2015 公益社団法人 土木学会
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