A growth model to simulate the heading and maturing stages of paddy rice in IBARAKI prefecture is presented. Accumulated temperature is calculated in different cropping seasons, different amount of basal dressing and different soil types. And then, a model based on orthogonal polynomials with the accumulated temperature, is developed. This model allows us only 2 days deviation in the heading and maturing stages.
Next, a multiple regression model which predicts the yield components of rice, is presented. The development index (DVI: 0 gives transplanting, 1 gives panicle formation stage, 2 gives heading, 3 gives maturing) of every 5 days, is calculated based on a recommended variety KOSHIHIKARI which has been cultivated for 19 years. This model takes the average temperature during 5 days just before each DVI value is attained as the independent variable. The estimated values by this model coincide well with the observed values.
View full abstract