The objective of this study is to evaluate five scenarios for extending the Japanese transport infrastructure by combining a few service levels of the highway network with Shinkansen and airport infrastructures. This evaluation considers the impact in terms of variations in CO2 emissions, energy consumption, and travel time.
In the five scenarios, trip generation, distribution, and modal splits were estimated for the future using a macro-forecasting model built in this study. Further, the environmental impacts due to the construction and operation of such infrastructures were estimated using the embodied energy and emission intensity data for Japan.
The results predict increases in the energy consumption and CO2 emissions in the next 30 years. On the other hand, the travel time decreased in all the scenarios; in particular, the scenario that considers the complete extension of the highway network exhibited the lowest travel time.
Based on monetary analyses, the losses due to the higher energy consumption and CO2 emissions are compensated by the reduction in the travel time.
Finally, this study demonstrates that, devising a construction plan by combining highway and Shinkansen networks would reduce the travel time, CO2 emissions, and energy consumption. These advantages would be especially evident in the metropolitan area and regional areas that are not provided with high-speed transportation infrastructures.
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