Transactions of the Japan Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
Online ISSN : 2424-0982
ISSN-L : 0917-2246
Volume 31, Issue 4
Displaying 1-4 of 4 articles from this issue
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  • Yusuke Shimizu
    2021 Volume 31 Issue 4 Pages 278-287
    Published: 2021
    Released on J-STAGE: December 25, 2021
    JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

    Abstract. The SIR and SEIR models, which are expressed by the differential equation, describe the short time epidemic of infectious diseases deterministically. However, in real, the pattern of the infection spread is unintentionally, therefore we need to consider the random fluctuation to catch the dynamics of populations. In this paper, we proposed the small diffusion SEIR model and derive the asymptotic distribution of estimators. We simulate in software R to demonstrate our theory.

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