Japanese Journal of Risk Analysis
Online ISSN : 2185-4548
Print ISSN : 0915-5465
ISSN-L : 0915-5465
Volume 25, Issue 4
Displaying 1-9 of 9 articles from this issue
Editorial
Papers
  • Michitoshi YAMAGUCHI, Haruyo KUDO, Yayoi KITO, Yoko NIIYAMA
    2016 Volume 25 Issue 4 Pages 179-187
    Published: March 25, 2016
    Released on J-STAGE: June 24, 2016
    JOURNAL FREE ACCESS
    We conducted a structural equation modelling (SEM) analysis for eliciting the individual risk perception of functional foods, before and after presenting information about health and health products. The structural model of risk perception for food products developed by Niiyama et al. (2011a, b, 2014) was employed. Data on risk perception and on three categories of factors behind were collected via Internet survey. Results showed image- and function-driven risk perception for functional foods, and information helps elaborating the image of the adverse outcome caused by them. These results can be understood as confirmation bias interpreting risk communicating information, at least under the brief and non-interactive communication.
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  • Robert MACNEE, Akihiro TOKAI, Ok-Yeon KIM
    2016 Volume 25 Issue 4 Pages 189-198
    Published: March 25, 2016
    Released on J-STAGE: June 24, 2016
    JOURNAL FREE ACCESS
    Japan and the Republic of Korea (South Korea) are former malaria endemic areas, where malaria vectors are still present. This article compares the current situation in each country, analyses reasons for the differences, determines the main climatological parameters controlling malaria prevalence and makes predictions of the climatic suitability of further re-emergence in the region as a result of climate change. Future projections of risk are made using a climatically sensitive base-reproduction rate model for malaria. The results showed that South Korea experiences significantly more annual cases of malaria. Multiple regression analysis indicated that climatic variables have a statistically significant influence on the monthly malaria trends in South Korea (R2 11.1%) and no statistical influence on annual trends 1993–2010. The base reproduction rate model simulates the impact of climate on the biological processes involved in malaria transmission. Simulations of the biological base reproduction rate model Projected that the climate will become more suitable for malaria transmission in the future in all of the study areas. This model provides an important first step towards understanding the impact of climate change on malaria transmission.
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Memorial Lecture by 2014 SRA-J Award Winner
SRA-Japan the 28th Symposium
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