The cow-calf sector of beef production in Hokkaido has grown remarkably since the late 1950s. The growth has coincided with the increase and decrease in technologically different types of operations with change in time. This paper examines the growth in Taiki by viewing it as an “evolutionary” process. The evolution of the population of operations is here defined as the change in the composition of the population with the increase or decrease in each type of operation. In Taiki, three types of operation are distinguished by size: small (fewer than 25 breeding cows), medium (25-49 cows), and large (more than 50 cows). To illustrate the evolutionary process, this study focuses on the three phases which farmers inevitably face in changing their operation type: 1) investment in required equipment or facilities, 2) adaptive acquisition of technology, and 3) sustained use of the technology. During each phase, farmers enter into the operation, or retire from it, or change the operation type; this results in an increase or decrease in each type. The analysis is based on personal data on transitions of operations from 1957, when beef cattle breeding started, to the present.
These five decades are divided into three periods according to the trend in the cow-calf sector and the farming environment: the first period (1957-1964), second period (1965-1987), and third period (1988-2003). Each type of operation increased or decreased in a complex manner in each period.
A small operation is easy to initiate, and it is possible to make easy profits. This type was wide spread in every period as a source of additional cash for farms facing low incomes. It should be noted, however, that the majority of farms adopting this type are doomed to disappear eventually due to the lack of farmer successors with the present price decline for agricultural crops.
Medium-sized operations require a certain amount of investment, and it is not easy to acquire necessary skills for making profits. This type cannot provide a living. It was therefore introduced only by farms that faced sharp declines in crop harvests at the beginning of the second period, or booming calf prices in the third period. However, this type of operation was not sustained for long because of its low income; neither will it spread widely in the future.
Large operations require a huge amount of investment with complete facilities and machinery, as well as an exceedingly high level of technology. This type was introduced by several farms that were unable to enlarge crop farming or dairy farming in the early second and the late third periods. They took advantage of publicly subsidized projects and financing. Although there are large income gaps between operations, most of the large operations have been sustained to the present thanks to financial aid from agricultural cooperatives. This type of operation will give farmers an opportunity to shift from other declining sectors, but it will not spread quickly or widely because of difficulties in fulfilling the technological requirements.
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