Journal of Epidemiology
Online ISSN : 1349-9092
Print ISSN : 0917-5040
ISSN-L : 0917-5040
最新号
選択された号の論文の6件中1~6を表示しています
Editorial
Original Article
  • Satoshi Kutsuna, Hiroyuki Ohbe, Naoki Kanda, Hiroki Matsui, Hideo Yasu ...
    2024 年 34 巻 8 号 p. 365-371
    発行日: 2024/08/05
    公開日: 2024/08/05
    [早期公開] 公開日: 2023/12/16
    ジャーナル オープンアクセス
    電子付録

    Background: Legionella pneumonia, a severe form of pneumonia, is caused by Legionella bacteria. The epidemiology of Legionnaires’ disease in Japan, including seasonal trends, risk factors for severe disease, and fatality rates, is unclear. This study examined the epidemiology of Legionella pneumonia in Japan.

    Methods: This retrospective cohort study included data of adult patients hospitalized for Legionella pneumonia (identified using the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision code, A481) in the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination inpatient database, from April 2011 to March 2021. We performed multivariable logistic regression analysis to explore the prognostic factors of in-hospital mortality.

    Results: Of 7,370 enrolled hospitalized patients from 1,140 hospitals (male, 84.4%; aged >50 years, 87.9%), 469 (6.4%) died during hospitalization. The number of hospitalized patients increased yearly, from 658 in 2016 to 975 in 2020. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that higher in-hospital mortality was associated with older age, male sex, lower body mass index, worsened level of consciousness, comorbidities (congestive heart failure, chronic renal diseases, and metastasis), hospitalization from November to May, and ambulance use. However, lower in-hospital mortality was associated with comorbidity (liver diseases), hospitalization after 2013, and hospitalization in hospitals with higher case volume.

    Conclusion: The characterized epidemiology of Legionella pneumonia in Japan revealed a high mortality rate of 6.4%. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to demonstrate a higher mortality rate in winter and in patients with congestive heart failure and metastasis. Further research is needed to understand the complex interplay between the prognostic factors of Legionella pneumonia.

  • Utako Murai, Junko Ishihara, Ribeka Takachi, Ayaka Kotemori, Yuri Ishi ...
    2024 年 34 巻 8 号 p. 372-379
    発行日: 2024/08/05
    公開日: 2024/08/05
    [早期公開] 公開日: 2024/01/06
    ジャーナル オープンアクセス
    電子付録

    Background: The Japanese database of food composition was revised in 2020, during which both the number of food items and the number of food items measured for sugars, amino acids, and fatty acids were increased. We evaluated the validity of estimated intakes of sugars, amino acids and fatty acids using a long food frequency questionnaire (long-FFQ) among middle-aged and elderly Japanese.

    Methods: From 2012 to 2013, 240 men and women aged 40–74 years from five areas in the JPHC-NEXT protocol were asked to respond to the long-FFQ and provide a 12-day weighed food record (WFR) as reference. The long-FFQ, which included 172 food and beverage items and 11 seasonings, was compared with a 3-day WFR, completed during each distinct season, and validity was assessed using Spearman’s correlation coefficients.

    Results: Percentage differences based on the long-FFQ with the 12-day WFR in men and women varied from −84.4% to 419.6%, and from −75.8% to 623.1% for sugars, −17.5% to 3.8% and −5.8% to 19.6% for amino acids, and −58.5% to 78.8% and −43.4% to 129.3% for fatty acids, respectively. Median values of correlation coefficients for the long-FFQ in men and women were 0.52 and 0.42 for sugars, 0.38 and 0.37 for amino acids, and 0.42 and 0.42 for fatty acids, respectively.

    Conclusion: The long-FFQ provided reasonable validity in estimating the intakes of sugars, amino acids, and fatty acids in middle-aged and elderly Japanese. Although caution is warranted for some nutrients, these results may be used in future epidemiological studies.

  • Takehiko Oami, Yohei Okada, Masaaki Sakuraya, Tatsuma Fukuda, Nobuaki ...
    2024 年 34 巻 8 号 p. 380-386
    発行日: 2024/08/05
    公開日: 2024/08/05
    [早期公開] 公開日: 2023/12/16
    ジャーナル オープンアクセス
    電子付録

    Background: We evaluated the applicability of automated citation screening in developing clinical practice guidelines.

    Methods: We prospectively compared the efficiency of citation screening between the conventional (Rayyan) and semi-automated (ASReview software) methods. We searched the literature for five clinical questions (CQs) in the development of the Japanese Clinical Practice Guidelines for the Management of Sepsis and Septic Shock. Objective measurements of the time required to complete citation screening were recorded. Following the first screening round, in the primary analysis, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and overall screening time were calculated for both procedures using the semi-automated tool as index and the results of the conventional method as standard reference. In the secondary analysis, the same parameters were compared between the two procedures using the final list of included studies after the second screening session as standard reference.

    Results: Among the five CQs after the first screening session, the highest and lowest sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive values were 0.241 and 0.795; 0.991 and 1.000; and 0.482 and 0.929, respectively. In the secondary analysis, the highest sensitivity and specificity in the semi-automated citation screening were 1.000 and 0.997, respectively. The overall screening time per 100 studies was significantly shorter with semi-automated than with conventional citation screening.

    Conclusion: The potential advantages of the semi-automated method (shorter screening time and higher discriminatory rate for the final list of studies) warrant further validation.

  • Madoka Iwase, Yukari Taniyama, Yuriko N. Koyanagi, Yumiko Kasugai, Isa ...
    2024 年 34 巻 8 号 p. 387-392
    発行日: 2024/08/05
    公開日: 2024/08/05
    [早期公開] 公開日: 2024/01/06
    ジャーナル オープンアクセス
    電子付録

    Background: Reproductive factors, such as age at menarche, are known to be associated with disease risk, but data on trends in these factors in Japan are limited. In this study, we investigated secular trends in reproductive factors and explored their potential association with socioeconomic and historical events.

    Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 62,005 Japanese women born between 1890 and 1991 using a survey conducted over 25 years. Trends in reproductive factors were analyzed using linear and joinpoint regression models, and their associations with major historical events involving Japan were evaluated.

    Results: We found that the age at menarche showed a significant downward trend (P < 0.001) over the century. Three joinpoints were identified, in 1932 (15.23 years old), 1946 (13.48 years old), and 1959 (12.71 years old), which indicated that average age at menarche decreased by approximately 0.8% per year between 1932 and 1946, and then by 0.4% per year between 1946 and 1959, both of which were statistically significant. However, after 1959, age of menarche remained stable. Analyses of other reproductive factors found significant changes, including a decrease in parity and the number of babies breastfed, and an increase in age at first birth.

    Conclusion: Age at menarche showed a long-term downward trend in Japan, with significant change points in annual percent change. Other factors showed secular changes in trends as well. These change points were observed at the same time as historical events, namely wars and economic development, suggesting that socioeconomic and environmental changes at the population level affect reproductive factors in females.

Study Profile
  • Sei Harada, Miho Iida, Naoko Miyagawa, Aya Hirata, Kazuyo Kuwabara, Mi ...
    2024 年 34 巻 8 号 p. 393-401
    発行日: 2024/08/05
    公開日: 2024/08/05
    [早期公開] 公開日: 2024/01/06
    ジャーナル オープンアクセス
    電子付録

    The Tsuruoka Metabolomics Cohort Study (TMCS) is an ongoing population-based cohort study being conducted in the rural area of Yamagata Prefecture, Japan. This study aimed to enhance the precision prevention of multi-factorial, complex diseases, including non-communicable and aging-associated diseases, by improving risk stratification and prediction measures. At baseline, 11,002 participants aged 35–74 years were recruited in Tsuruoka City, Yamagata Prefecture, Japan, between 2012 and 2015, with an ongoing follow-up survey. Participants underwent various measurements, examinations, tests, and questionnaires on their health, lifestyle, and social factors. This study uses an integrative approach with deep molecular profiling to identify potential biomarkers linked to phenotypes that underpin disease pathophysiology and provide better mechanistic insights into social health determinants. The TMCS incorporates multi-omics data, including genetic and metabolomic analyses of 10,933 participants, and comprehensive data collection ranging from physical, psychological, behavioral, and social to biological data. The metabolome is used as a phenotypic probe because it is sensitive to changes in physiological and external conditions. The TMCS focuses on collecting outcomes for cardiovascular disease, cancer incidence and mortality, disability and functional decline due to aging and disease sequelae, and the variation in health status within the body represented by omics analysis that lies between exposure and disease. It contains several sub-studies on aging, heated tobacco products, and women’s health. This study is notable for its robust design, high participation rate (89%), and long-term repeated surveys. Moreover, it contributes to precision prevention in Japan and East Asia as a well-established multi-omics platform.

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