In this paper, we first investigate product composition of used disposable diapers, and the three components, chemical composition, and other areas involved in initiating recycling over incineration for disposal. Supported by analytical results of the three components, elemental composition, heating value, and biomass content, we came to understand that the composition of used disposable diapers is a mixture of pulp, plastic, and SAP containing about 2-4 times more urine-derived water and Cl.
The paper then estimates the impact of used disposable diapers on waste incineration by the year 2050, taking into account increasing use of adult diapers and by comparison, showing the current expected reduction of plastics and kitchen waste that is mainly progressing. Even if the ratio of used disposable diapers increases, the impact as a waste quality deterioration and Cl source can be ignored, and it was considered that incineration treatment should be remained committed from the viewpoint of the risk of becoming infectious waste. However, in areas where population is declining and the rate of aging is on the increase, the contribution ratio of Na and fossil CO
2 derived from used disposable diapers to the total waste is expected to increase by up to 50% and 23%, respectively. In such areas, material recycling is also suggested as one of the possible options.
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