The purpose of this study is to analyze the Research and Development (R&D) expenditure of new chemical entities (NCE) for the last two decades. Two main reasons can be put forth for this study. One is that cost and return analysis of commercial use of genetic resources is one of the best approaches to address benefit-sharing issue which is regulated in the Convention on Biological Diversity. Secondly, there are a few studies focusing on the analysis of the R&D expenditure of NCE in Japanese pharmaceuticals, especially from the perspective of time series analysis.
According to past studies, two approaches existed in addressing estimation of the R&D expenditure of NCE. One is a regression analysis utilizing aggregated data of pharmaceutical industry. The other is a questionnaire study for each pharmaceutical company. In this study, we adopted a new way of estimating the R&D expenditure of NCE in Japan. We used aggregate pharmaceutical data and the results of existing multi-firm project level studies.
Results show that average R&D expenditure per NCE is estimated in the range of 6.9 to 7.4 billion JP yen in 1985 and increased to 25.5 to 28.0 billon JP yen in 1995. According to this study, R&D expenditure will be peak around 2000.
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