The author surveyed recent directions in extreme precipitation studies in the U.S. based on participation in the 2014 California Extreme Precipitation Symposium and follow-up literature surveys. The annual symposium aims atsharing information related to meteorological and hydrological research development related to extreme precipitation that might cause flooding, and aims at applying that information to planning and management. More reliable PMP estimation is a recent direction, with background stemming from the fact that planning and design methods of hydraulic structures in the U.S. have changed, employing new technology. Specifically, current levee and dam safety programs started in the mid-1990s require more comprehensive decision-making of hydraulic structures based on risk analysis and PMP. The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation’s interim guidelines set 1/10,000 annualized failure probability as a rough safety criterion and apply special consideration if dam failure can be expected to cause more than 1,000 deaths, even if the failure probability is low. To support national-level storm analysis including PMP, the Hydrologic Engineering Center of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers is developing a nationwide storm database and computer analysis tools.
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