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Tsuyoshi HATORI, Tohru FUTAGAMI
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_1-I_6
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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This study refers to our lack of cognition about the limit of our own presumption ragarding natural disasters as
meta-ignorance. It investigated how people tend to suffer from meta-ignorance regarding fire disaster occurred due to earthquake and then examined the effect of disaster simulation to mitigate the meta-ignorance. The result indicated the phenomenon of
meta-ignorance: those who underestimate the level of the earthquake fire hazards tend to underestimate the possibility of occurrence of situations exceeding his or her estimation. It was also found that meta-recognition regarding one's own presumption about earthquake fire was associated negatively with the tendency of dependence on government for disaster prevention. Furthermore, it was shown that the presentation of disaster simulation has an effect to reduce the tendency of meta-ignorance.
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Junko KANAI, Kiyomine TERUMOTO, Susumu NAKANO
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_7-I_14
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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The role of local government officials in emergency period after disaster occurred is exceedingly important. It is necessary for effect responses to prepare the emergency operations plan before disaster occurred. This study examines perceptions of local government officials related to business continuity plan. The research area is Naruto City in Tokushima Prefecture. The questionnaire survey was conducted to Naruto City local government officials. Question items are perceptions of emergency response issues and important operation contents associated with Nankai Trough Earthquake. In the analyses, each item was aggregated and their structures were pictured based on pass analysis. The results shows that local government officials recognized importance of resources related to life in emergency period and living materials for the support service. Another results indicate that perceptions of emergency response issues and important operation contents are mostly related, on the other hand a little part are not found relevant.
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Kyosuke TAKAHASHI, Wataru SHIRAKI, Hirohiko IWAHARA, Hitoshi INOMO, Ch ...
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_15-I_22
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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In a large scale disaster, regional organizations must strategically cooperate with the others to recover and reconstruction disaster regions. A District Continuity Plan (DCP) and its action plan are required for each organization to facilitate cooperative actions after a disaster. However, to build consensus among DCP developer is difficult because important bases of the organization are different. In order to solve the problems, it is effective a decision support system which enable to present a specific recovery plan for action plan. In this study an attempt is made to propose a District Impact Analysis (DIA) method using a genetic algorithm and a concept of the development action plan based on live design. Several recovery planning of road access and logistics functions are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed method.
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Toru FUTAGAMI, Momoko IMANISHI, Keisuke IDE
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_23-I_30
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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Near future, the occurrence of earthquakes along the Nankai trough is forecast. Therefore, the risk of fire due to earthquake and multiple simultaneous collapse of a building due to the strong shaking has been pointed out. In particular, in the city with many wooden houses, depending on weather conditions, serious and material and human damage is assumed. Therefore, the authors have developed a fire spread simulation system during an earthquake. So, to target voluntary organization for disaster prevention and fire department personnel and disaster prevention officer in Matsuyama, you have practice of presenting the training, provision and use of the simulation system. And implement a simulation system to Matsuyama fire department, through the survey, and have been researching for the formation of rulemaking to reduce the risk of fire earthquake local government and residents work together.
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Chikako ISOUCHI, Wataru SHIRAKI, Hirohiko IWAHARA, Hitoshi INOMO, Kyos ...
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_31-I_36
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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For emergency responses, it is necessary to prioritize the district continuity response by strategically coordinating local organizations. It is necessary to establish a guideline, with the presumption that the entire region prioritizes the district continuity, and to consensually decide structural measures and recovery sites ahead of time, so that each organization could strategically implement the action in the event of an emergency. This strategic plan is the DCP, and the plan needs to be formulated ahead of time.
In this study, a definition of DCP in the event of a large-scale flood disaster is provided.
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Kensuke TAKENOUCHI, Hideaki NAKASHIMA, Kohji TANAKA, Eiichi NAKAKITA, ...
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_37-I_44
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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It is difficult to judge and forecast flood risk on small-medium rivers, because the risk is related to various local factors such as channel network and land use. In this research, high-resolution flood inundation analysis model was utilized to confirm details of flood risk and a result of the analysis is transformed to local disaster information which is familiar to inhabitants (Local weather information). An availability of this method is checked and its relations to weather information are evaluated. As an example, this research taked an event of the Okuetu heavy rainfall, which happened on September in 1965 around Oono City and caused heavy damages. The practical disaster education with the local disaster information based on the results of flood inundation analysis was provided to some students in Yushunishi elementary school in Oono and we have checked the effect from the pre/post questionary surveys.
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Susumu NAKANO, Yasuyo TORINIWA, Yasunori MUTO, Kohji UNO, Junko KANAI
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_45-I_52
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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Advancement of the safety management is required in the nursery school which must carry out both nursing and education. The risk management in the heavy rain disaster which occurs frequently in recent years becomes the urgent problem. We were conducted the interview survey for staff of the nursery schools affected by a heavy rain disaster during 2011 and 2013 about the disaster situation of a nursery school and the response of post-disaster. From the analysis of the interviewed contents, the essential points of the safety management of children and nursing staff were summarized, and the problems for resuming nursing business quickly were shown.
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Yuji KAMIKUBO, Kazunori FUJINO, Tsukasa IWABE, Shunta DOZONO, Takafumi ...
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_53-I_58
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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In 2012, National Institute of Technology, Kumamoto, and Yatsushiro River and National Highway Office concluded a collaboration agreement for the joint research and education on the disaster prevention and mitigation in the Kumagawa River basin. The Watari region has often suffered inundation damages in the flood season, and we have examined countermeasures against disasters in the region. While a hydraulic model experiment was carried out to examine countermeasure construction, a lot of inhabitants and students, participating in the experiment, received education and information about how to cope with disasters. Through this public-academic collaboration, a training levee was constructed based on the experimental results, and the participants in the experiment became more conscious about their natural disaster prevention and mitigation.
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Keiichi YASUDA, Wataru SHIRAKI, Hitoshi INOMO
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_59-I_66
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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In case of emergency, we should act according to disaster prevention manuals that are usually provided beforehand. However, in many cases, as time passes, we forget the measures in case of emergency as it rarely occurs. Also, in order to act correctly in an emergency, emergency training is indispensable. As checking before action cannot be secured in case of emergency, it is important that each person involved must remember and act with certainty. In the present research, an attempt to include emergency practices in the daily routine was made and measures were proposed. Finally, the effectiveness of the trial was confirmed through a questionnaire.
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Akio SAKATA, Atsushi KAWAMOTO, Norio ITO, Sinji HATAKEYAMA, Wataru SHI ...
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_67-I_72
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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This study intended for a town office located in the intermediate and mountainous area of Osaka. We studied it based on BCP which we devised by the workshop method of the staff participation type. We confirmed whether the securing of administrative services was possible in town office alone through a disaster prevention drill. Furthermore, we confirmed it about the need of the DCP. And we suggest it in the viewpoint just after the disaster for administration from these problems.
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Hitoshi FURUTA, Koichiro NAKATSU, Kyosuke TAKAHASHI, Ken ISHIBASHI, Yo ...
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_73-I_80
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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This study attempts to evaluate the effectiveness of earthquake preparedness to the improvement of regional resilience by analyzing the reliability of road network based on the safety of human life. This reliability analysis extracts vulnerable points to the reachability of fire truck and ambulance and the evacuation of residents. By comparing the reinforcement of extracted elements with the ongoing plan, this paper demonstrates that the proposed preparedness based on the regional resilience more improves the safety of residents with the enhancement of the continuity of road network. The assessment of earthquake preparedness from various viewpoints is necessary to predict and minimize the seismic crisis. In this paper, it was implied that the evaluation that put a priority on the human life could be a criterion for the improvement of regional resilience.
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Shinji HATAKEYAMA, Akio SAKATA, Atsushi KAWAMOTO, Norio ITO, Wataru SH ...
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_81-I_86
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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On the basis of some instructions of the East Japan Grate Earthquake Damage, it is required for the local government that the BCP is shoud be made to keep main important functions in out of supposition. Even if the functions fall into be faires, it is required to recovery as soon as possible. In this paper, the concept of BCP and disaster mitigation as well as disaster prevention for local government based on 4 disaster resilience indices such as “robustness”, “redundancy”, “resourcefulness”, “rapidness”. Furthermore, it considers loading a resilience engineering function (four capability, respond, pay attention to, anticipate, and study) on the problem of reservation of the resource which becomes important for disaster developmental time. And the governmental agency BCP decision technique in which the effectiveness by construction of resilient organization control is high is proposed.
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Shinji HATAKEYAMA, Akio SAKATA, Atsushi KAWAMOTO, Norio ITO, Wataru SH ...
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_87-I_92
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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The movement of enterprise BCP was delayed because the administrative function of the municipality to say nothing of struck of the enterprise fell from the damage due to East Japan great earthquake large scale and large area into no all states and the obstacle caused to the initial motion correspondence. However, the situation that exceeds assumption is to be able to happen, and enterprise BCP that can appropriately correspond to the situation is requested to settle on. In the present study, it proposes the method of mortgaging the effectiveness of enterprise BCP based on resilience's idea.
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Hiroshi GOTOH, Yuta KAKEHI, Kazuo ISHINO, Mitsuo TAKEZAWA
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_93-I_98
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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Recently, flood disasters due to the climate change can be seen in all over the world. The some of the devastating disaseters often take away the human lives and properties. Also, when medical facilities supporting injured persons are damaged by the flood, the residents lost something to hope for in life even if the human lives have been saved fortunately.
In this paper, the investigations on flooding risk have been conducted by focusing on medical facilities in lowland of Japan. Also, the plans for preparation against flood have been discussed.
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Yuichiro KANEKO, Arihito SANO, Shigeki YOKOYAMA, Masashi INOUE
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_99-I_106
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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The objective of this study is to develop the orgin-distnation connectivity evaluation system based on train status to examine how best to resume train operation in big earthquake using Geographic Information System(GIS). Characteristics of this system are able to determine the choice set in consideration of alternative routes on the railway networks and to calculate arrival rate to destination using OD pattern by trip purpose. In this study, behavior of railway users in the Great East Japan Earthquake is visually simulated to confirm the utility of the propsed system.
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Naotaka KIKKAWA, Kazuya ITOH, Tomohito HORI, Shoken SHIMIZU, Kyoko HAM ...
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_107-I_114
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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In Japan, we have more than 600,000 drag-shovels and the death labour accidents relating with drag-shovels happened more than 70 per a year until 2006. So that we analysed the accidents relating with drag-shovels in details. As a result, there are 4 types of labour accidents: a drag-shovel falls down due to its unstable condition, a burden hanged hits a worker, slope or trench collapses due to excavation and weight of a drag-shovel, a drag-shovel drives backward or pivots and hits a worker. It is revealed that a drag-shovel becomes unstable condition due to dynamic operation such as driving forward or pivoting in a slope and that a drag-shovel and worker are working together within the maximum excavation radius of the drag-shovel. As the countermeasure for the safety, we recommend the use of a drag-shovel with ROPS (Roll-Over Protective Structure) and fastening a seat belt, to set the maximum stable grade considered with dynamic operation, the system alerting both an operator and worker to their approach.
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Kazuya ITOH, Nobuo KIKUCHI, Hideo HASHIDUME
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_115-I_122
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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Deaths resulting from falling accidents account for 40% of all labor-related deaths in the construction industry and outnumber deaths from any other cause at construction work sites. Measures to reduce accidental falls from working surfaces other than scaffolding are of the highest priority. This paper details a survey (questionnaire) of companies to ascertain the equipment they actually use to prevent falls from construction work sites on slopes. We collected basic data and engineering findings useful for preventing falling accidents through construction safety management on “cliffs and slopes, ” the major working surfaces, apart from scaffolding, from which falling accidents occur. We also identified issues to consider in the future based on the results of the survey and past accident analyses.
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Toshiyuki OHKAMI, Yusuke YAMAMOTO, Masashi TOYOTA, Shigeru KOYAMA
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_123-I_128
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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This paper treats an evacuation behavior simulation from inundation. We calculate a expansion of flood flow with 2-dimensional unsteady flow model, and the emergency evacuation behavior from the inundation is simulated by using Multi-agent model. Multi-agent modeling is a computational method that allows building an artificial environment populated with agents which are capable of interacting with each other. In this paper, we investigate the influence of the physical environment and the properties of evacuees on the evacuation results. Through the simulation and the analysis by design of experiments, it is shown that the existence of evacuation building to evacuate temporarily besides the evacuation center is effective for a inundation disaster.
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Shoichi OKANIWA, Kazuya ITOH, Naoaki SUEMASA, Shinji EBISAWA, Hideo HA ...
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_129-I_136
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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Slope disasters such as slope failures often occur in Japan due to various natural phenomena. Shotcrete and other slope works are carried out to protect social infrastructure and dwellings from slope disasters. Lifelines and safety belts are used to prevent falling accidents and ensure the safety of the workers who engage in slope works. A number of standard lifeline fixing methods are widely used and reported, but their engineering rationale is unclear. In the present study we considered the proper diameters, driving depths, and shapes of the anchors used to fix lifelines, in order to prevent friction and wear of the lifelines and better maintain safety during work on slopes. This paper reports the results of an impact loading experiment performed with experimental banking simulating a construction work site on a slope.
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Shuichi KOBAYASHI, Tetsuya SUZUKI, Toshihiro MORII
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_137-I_142
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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The development of swamp areas have been widely using the steel sheet pile canal.In recent years, the relationship between the durability and the corrosion of the steel sheet pile has been discussed as a technical problem in maintenance.In this study, the thermal image data of corroded steel sheet pile by infrared thermography method was evaluated using the semi-variogram model.The semi-variogram analysis is a quantitative evaluation method of the spatial distribution of physical properties.The semi-variogram appeared different semi-variance characteristics depending on corroded conditions.Thus, it could be quantitatively evaluated of corroded conditions of steel sheet pile canal is by the semi-variogram analysis using infrared image.
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Tetsuya SUZUKI
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_143-I_148
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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For effective maintenance and management of pipeline system, it is necessary to evaluate not only the damage of pipe materials but also the detection of pressure waves such as water hammer. In this study, non-destructive inspections of pressure waves are proposed by applying acoustic emission (AE) and image analysis. Thus, pressure waves were detected in the model pipeline system, based on control of valve closing time (0.40-10.48s). The AE behavior of pressure waves were dependent on the degree of maximum pressure scale and could be evaluated applying AE parameter analysis. Using digital image correlation method (DICM), a relationship between maximum pressure level and displacement is correlated. By monitoring the pressure waves in model pipeline based on these results, the generated pressure waves was successfully detected by non-destructive inspection methods.
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Yasufumi YUASA, Susumu NAKANO, Yoshio KASUBUCHI
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_149-I_154
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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Since the Great East Japan Earthquake, the perception of the BCM and BCP has been increasing in local small and medium-sized enterprises. However, formulated rate of BCP in the small and medium-sized enterprises still low, play an important role local small and medium-sized enterprises, even when considering the continuation of local for assistance with BCM to, it is a challenge for each region. In this paper, we introduce the case for measures to Research Center for Management of Disaster Environmental, University of Tokushima conducted in cooperation with the Chamber of Commerce organizations and Tokushima Prefecture, is doing the support of the BCM to local small and medium-sized enterprises in response to the entire process of BCM , I do discuss the challenges and future BCM support measures for local small and medium-sized enterprises.
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Kazuyoshi OTA, Shinya KONDO
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_155-I_160
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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In case of the great disaster on the Kii peninsula, we will be confronted with a crisis that many districts are isolated. But it is very difficult to evaluate self-support of each districts.
In this paper, we examine some local events in Wakayama Prefecture, and attempt to contrast the operation of an event with the index to evaluate self-support. So we extract some subjects for the continuity of local districts.
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Toru FUTAGAMI, Yuki KUNIKATA
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_161-I_168
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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We have developed a fire spread simulation system in the massive earthquake. Currently, we are distributing the system to target voluntary organization for disaster prevention of Matsuyama and Fire Department of Matsuyama. The system is used as a tool for active voluntary organization for disaster prevention. At the same time, using the system, along with the government and citizens, we have to practice risk communication. In the course of them, or the government, from the residents, we got the desire or criticism of the system. In this study, improvements were made to the need for a system that we had from the government. In addition, for the question about the reproducibility of the system that we received from a chairman of voluntary organization for disaster prevention, It was verified by Fukumitsu conflagration and Sakata conflagration of real conflagration that our developinig system is consistent.
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Hirohiko IWAHARA, Wataru SHIRAKI, Hitoshi INOMO, Kyosuke TAKAHASHI, Ch ...
2014 Volume 70 Issue 2 Pages
I_169-I_174
Published: 2014
Released on J-STAGE: February 10, 2015
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In preparation for the Nankai trough great earthquake, each organization needs to cooperate with a business continuous plan (Business Continuity Plan:BCP), and each organizations, need to do the decision promotion of the district continuous plan (District Continuity Plan:DCP). The Kagawa University crisis and security management research center performs follows: 1) The making of the platform for an industry-academic-government to argue for DCP development, 2) The offer of the DCP development tool which applied district impact analysis technique, 3) Effect inspection effect of administrative company BCP which I understood from DCP development process, 4) The suggestion of the disaster prevention. Our activity gets a high evaluation from a branch office and Kagawa of the government, the local government, the lifeline connection company and it is placed in "the 2014 disaster prevention white paper district disaster prevention plan system" of the Cabinet Office publication and gives result steadily. This report describes the activity contents and action result.
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