Forecasting system to predict occurrence of snow accretion on power transmission lines in the South-west Kanto district was produced. This system was produced by the analysis of the past examples of severe disasters of snow accretion, caused by extratropical cyclones and satisfies the following;
(1)it can be operated with small amount of data which is available easily,
(2)it can be run easily on a micro computer, selecting from a menu on the screen,
(3)it can predict amount of snow accretion at each tower location,
(4) each stage of the system can be improved with newly analyzed data.
The program language is BASIC, making the system operable with a commercial personal computer.
Verification of this system for the cases of a typical extratropical cyclone of the past was carried out, and for the recent cases of snowfalls caused by an extratropical cyclone during 3 winters in 1987-90. Evaluation of the prediction results led to some points to be improved and a guideline of realtime operation was obtained.
For a future work, together with improving accuracy of prediction, the system will be advanced to the operational stage after trial operations by receiving weather fax-data and carrying out estimation in winter.
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