This report is the summary of our studies on seasonal weather forecasting made during this year. (1) Empirical rules concerning seasonal weather forecasting were collected and arranged, several conclusions on mode of seasonal weather change deduced. (2) Anomaly of seasonal weather was researched and average which is most convenient for seasonal weather forecasting are derived. (3) Method of periodegram analysis was discussed and 5-day mean value of temperature was analysed.24 days',34 days' and 44 days' periodicity were found to be stable. (4) A method of extrapolation by such the periodicity was proposed which is applicable to the seasonal weather forecasting. (5) Mechanism of 34 days' periodicity was suggested, but we need further research to confirm the suggestion (6) The contents are following:
1. Preface
2. Brief history of the studies in seasonal forecasting in Japan
3. Weather proverbs on seasonal weather forecasting
4. Collection of correlation coefficients
5. Seasonal correlation
6. Meaning of seasonal forecasting
7. Basic change and perturbation
8. Statistical characters of perturbation
9. Time interval of the average in seasonal weather changes
10. Secular change of the normal values
11. Periodicity in seasonal weather changes
12. Periodograin analysis of 5-day mean values of temperature and pressure
13. Extrapolation by the periodicity
15.25.5 days' and 34 day' periodicities.
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