In case, train operation is interrupted for a long period of time on the Tokaido Shinkansen line, it would possibly incur significant social costs. This is primarily because of the huge passenger demand the route is serving and the absence of any alternative route.
Taking the case of Tokaido Shinkansen, this study makes an attempt to estimate the effect of alternative routes in reducing the possible social loss to be caused by an interruption of train operation for a long period of time. The study employs a quantitative method to evaluate the effects of four different alternative routes.
The findings of the study suggest that all alternative routes reduce the impact of service interruption on passenger demand. The study also confirmed that the parallel route is most effective in reducing the general social loss including the loss in sightseeing expenditure viewed as a representative monetary loss.
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